Search found 13 matches

by ScottVal
Fri Apr 17, 2009 10:55 am
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: Arrows on Maps
Replies: 1
Views: 166

Arrows on Maps

Hello--
If there's an arrow on a map, like the arrow on the Chinese map going from Gansu to Nei Mongol (across the Great Wall), is that a one-way-only attack?
-scott
by ScottVal
Fri Apr 17, 2009 10:54 am
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: Dice Improbability
Replies: 7
Views: 531

Re: Dice Improbability

The probability of the defender winning in a 3-v-2 dice roll is 29%. You can figure out the probability of the defender winning N rolls in a row by taking 29% to the Nth power.

For example, you said you've attacked 20-30 armies v. 3 and lost it all, and the defender lost none. In the case of 20 ...
by ScottVal
Fri Apr 17, 2009 10:35 am
Forum: The Atlas
Topic: Greater China [Quenched] (thanks Widowmakers)
Replies: 843
Views: 635640

Re: Greater China [Quenched] (thanks Widowmakers)

Hello-
Does the arrow from Gansu to Nei Mongol (across the Great Wall) mean that it's a one-way attack?
-scott
by ScottVal
Tue Apr 14, 2009 9:03 am
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: Expected losses on assaults
Replies: 9
Views: 728

Re: Expected losses on assaults

Hey, cool formula.

With large number of armies, the second and third terms become insignificant, leaving .85n.

I think another way of saying that is: You can expect a 85% casualty rate when pitting your large force against another large force.

Or, you can attack a force of 100 armies with a force ...
by ScottVal
Mon Apr 13, 2009 8:05 pm
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: Expected losses on assaults
Replies: 9
Views: 728

Re: Expected losses on assaults

You're right, it is what I'm looking for. Thanks. I tried to explain this in my last post. I even made a quote from the BattleOdds site.

Obviously this game is ultimately a game of resource management, competition and balance. If you fall behind, you'll lose.

If the game is close, i.e., the ...
by ScottVal
Mon Apr 13, 2009 7:04 pm
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: Expected losses on assaults
Replies: 9
Views: 728

Re: Expected losses on assaults

OK, I have this to add to my last post:

According to the "BattleOdds" web page (m), in a 3-dice versus 2-dice battle, the attacker wins 37%, defender wins 29%, and split 34%.

So, obviously in a battle between to large groups of armies it makes more sense to attack than defend. You have a 8 ...
by ScottVal
Mon Apr 13, 2009 6:46 pm
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: Expected losses on assaults
Replies: 9
Views: 728

Re: Expected losses on assaults

That's nice, but it's not really what I'm looking for.

Say you have a territory with 90 armies in it, adjacent to an enemy territory with 100 armies in it.

Let's say you're the underdog in this war, and you think it might make sense to attack the 100 armies with your 90 armies. Even though you are ...
by ScottVal
Mon Apr 13, 2009 5:00 pm
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: Expected losses on assaults
Replies: 9
Views: 728

Expected losses on assaults

Hello-
I'm sure some one has calculated expected losses on assaults. For example, if you have 100 attacking armies versus 100 defending armies, and you press the "auto assault" button, what would the most likely end-result be?

I enjoy doing math calculations, so I started with the simple case of ...
by ScottVal
Thu Apr 02, 2009 9:12 am
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: Questions about Spoils [Answered]
Replies: 2
Views: 1137

Re: Questions about Spoils

So you can turn in a spoil which you don't hold (and have never held) with two that you DO hold? An you only get troops for the two you hold, and none for the one you don't hold?

OK, I'm reading the instructions now (when all else fails...):
"You earn spoils at the end of every turn in which you ...
by ScottVal
Wed Apr 01, 2009 11:15 pm
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: Questions about Spoils [Answered]
Replies: 2
Views: 1137

Questions about Spoils [Answered]

Hello-
I completed my first game today, and I've got four simultaneous games going now.
I'm not quite clear on how the spoils work. Maybe you can help me.

If I get a spoil (by conquering a region), do I lose the spoil if I lose the region? Or is the spoil like a "card" which I've earned and keep ...
by ScottVal
Tue Mar 31, 2009 6:21 pm
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: Where are the zones? [Answered]
Replies: 1
Views: 146

Where are the zones? [Answered]

I'm playing on the imperial Rome map, and it's not clear to me where the zones are.
Do anyone know?
-scott
by ScottVal
Tue Mar 31, 2009 5:48 pm
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: I don't see my units....
Replies: 5
Views: 319

Re: I don't see my units....

Are the circled numbers in each territory troop counts?
I'm playing a two player game. I guess my units are green and my opponent's are red.
What do the white numbers mean?

-scott
by ScottVal
Tue Mar 31, 2009 5:43 pm
Forum: Conquer Club Discussion
Topic: I don't see my units....
Replies: 5
Views: 319

I don't see my units....

Hello-
I'm new to the game and just started playing my first game.
I have performed my first turn.
I have deployed my units.
Oops, only put one in each territory -- guess that means I can't assault.
I don't see my units on the map. Am I doing something wrong?
Thanks for your help.
-scott

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