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So......it's possible these changes could be totally normal?Metsfanmax wrote:Of course, it is not possible for me to answer whether this has happened before; we don't have a complete temperature record of all the Earth's history.Phatscotty wrote:has there ever been an increase like that in a similar time frame at any other time in history? Or is this 1 degree increase in the last 125 or so years a totally new phenomenon for the earth in it's history?Metsfanmax wrote:No, no, no, no. Global warming is causing an increase in average air temperature. It has already happened. The average surface air temperature has increased by over 1 degree Fahrenheit since the industrial revolution began -- this is a clearly measured quantity. It is true that global warming will cause more weather extremes, and that some places (e.g. the Arctic) will warm more than others -- but it is also true that the average temperature is increasing.WingCmdr Ginkapo wrote:Global warming does not cause an increase in average air temperature. The name "global warming" is a massive misnomer.
Global warming causes an increase in fluctuations of the weather to the extremes. More extreme high temperatures, more extreme low temperatures. More periods of drought, more periods of snow. Reduction in temperature conditions in between.
Isn't the next ice age only due to start in something like 1-2,000 years? What does it matter?WingCmdr Ginkapo wrote:Pretty sure the answer is that this weather phenomenon preceded the last ice age, so you either go with the theory that we should prevent it occurring, or start planning how to deal with the next ice age. Neither s particularly attractive.
Burying your head in the sand is not an option.
That doesn't logically follow from what I said. We have concrete and essentially indisputable evidence that these changes are not normal and that human-caused CO2 emissions are causing the warming -- the type of CO2 that we emit from (say) fossil fuel combustion is different in nature than the type of CO2 that is emitted in natural processes, so we can be confident that it is our emissions that are involved here. So by construction there is no way for this change to be "normal" if that means non-industrial.Phatscotty wrote:So......it's possible these changes could be totally normal?Metsfanmax wrote:Of course, it is not possible for me to answer whether this has happened before; we don't have a complete temperature record of all the Earth's history.Phatscotty wrote:has there ever been an increase like that in a similar time frame at any other time in history? Or is this 1 degree increase in the last 125 or so years a totally new phenomenon for the earth in it's history?Metsfanmax wrote:No, no, no, no. Global warming is causing an increase in average air temperature. It has already happened. The average surface air temperature has increased by over 1 degree Fahrenheit since the industrial revolution began -- this is a clearly measured quantity. It is true that global warming will cause more weather extremes, and that some places (e.g. the Arctic) will warm more than others -- but it is also true that the average temperature is increasing.WingCmdr Ginkapo wrote:Global warming does not cause an increase in average air temperature. The name "global warming" is a massive misnomer.
Global warming causes an increase in fluctuations of the weather to the extremes. More extreme high temperatures, more extreme low temperatures. More periods of drought, more periods of snow. Reduction in temperature conditions in between.
I wasn't trying to follow, it was a question about if it's possible, given we don't really know the temperature record of earth's history.Metsfanmax wrote:That doesn't logically follow from what I said.Phatscotty wrote:So......it's possible these changes could be totally normal?Metsfanmax wrote:Of course, it is not possible for me to answer whether this has happened before; we don't have a complete temperature record of all the Earth's history.Phatscotty wrote:has there ever been an increase like that in a similar time frame at any other time in history? Or is this 1 degree increase in the last 125 or so years a totally new phenomenon for the earth in it's history?Metsfanmax wrote:No, no, no, no. Global warming is causing an increase in average air temperature. It has already happened. The average surface air temperature has increased by over 1 degree Fahrenheit since the industrial revolution began -- this is a clearly measured quantity. It is true that global warming will cause more weather extremes, and that some places (e.g. the Arctic) will warm more than others -- but it is also true that the average temperature is increasing.WingCmdr Ginkapo wrote:Global warming does not cause an increase in average air temperature. The name "global warming" is a massive misnomer.
Global warming causes an increase in fluctuations of the weather to the extremes. More extreme high temperatures, more extreme low temperatures. More periods of drought, more periods of snow. Reduction in temperature conditions in between.
people can be pretty crappy planners even when it comes to tomorrow or next week. Very few people I know are even planning for their own retirement, it's just not on their mind. If we are supposed to plan for the next 'age', then I'm gonna start digging a hole so I can be next to the earth's core where it's still warm. And forget turning it over to the government, besides printing money and papering things over for the short term, they can't plan a cup of soup.WingCmdr Ginkapo wrote:Pretty sure the answer is that this weather phenomenon preceded the last ice age, so you either go with the theory that we should prevent it occurring, or start planning how to deal with the next ice age. Neither s particularly attractive.
Burying your head in the sand is not an option.
Thats an excuse not an answerPhatscotty wrote:people can be pretty crappy planners even when it comes to tomorrow or next week. Very few people I know are even planning for their own retirement, it's just not on their mind. If we are supposed to plan for the next 'age', then I'm gonna start digging a hole so I can be next to the earth's core where it's still warm. And forget turning it over to the government, besides printing money and papering things over for the short term, they can't plan a cup of soup.WingCmdr Ginkapo wrote:Pretty sure the answer is that this weather phenomenon preceded the last ice age, so you either go with the theory that we should prevent it occurring, or start planning how to deal with the next ice age. Neither s particularly attractive.
Burying your head in the sand is not an option.
Perhaps it is because you are not logical in the first place? Now let me break down your quote one line at a time.Metsfanmax wrote:That doesn't logically follow from what I said. We have concrete and essentially indisputable evidence that these changes are not normal and that human-caused CO2 emissions are causing the warming -- the type of CO2 that we emit from (say) fossil fuel combustion is different in nature than the type of CO2 that is emitted in natural processes, so we can be confident that it is our emissions that are involved here. So by construction there is no way for this change to be "normal" if that means non-industrial.

OK, you can believe whatever you want to. As a scientist, I'm pretty confident that a global conspiracy to fake massive amounts of data would be... rather tricky. But I'm probably not going to convince you of this, and you're definitely not going to convince me that my experiences as a scientist don't show me that scientists love to tear apart the work of others, so what's the point? I mean, I would hope that you would know enough to recognize that your undergrad engineering degree from a few decades ago doesn't exactly qualify you to comment on the contemporary state of the academic process, but perhaps that is hoping too much.tzor wrote: "We have concrete and essentially indisputable evidence that these changes are not normal" ... Actually all the "concrete" evidence has been proven to either be outright fake or basically sand, adjusted specifically in order to prove the case. This isn't to say that there may not be some evidence, but it's hardly "concrete."
It is the isotopic ratio that is relevant here. Plants generally have a lower ratio of carbon-13 to carbon-12 than the atmosphere does, since the energetics favor usage of carbon-12 over the heavier carbon-13. The ratio of carbon-13 to carbon-12 in plants is fairly constant over time since photosynthesis doesn't change its nature, so the ancient organic material that decayed to form fossil fuels has about the same C13/C12 ratio that modern plants do. So then fossil fuels have about the same C13/C12 ratio as plants now do; that is, a lower C13/C12 ratio than the atmosphere had when the industrial period started. Consequently the burning of fossil fuels means that the ratio of C13 in the atmosphere is decreasing, because the typical CO2 molecule is now more likely to come from the C13-depleted fossil fuel burning."the type of CO2 that we emit from (say) fossil fuel combustion is different in nature than the type of CO2 that is emitted in natural processes" ... in my state, you need a medical condition in order to smoke that shit. CO2 is a molecule of two oxygen atoms and one carbon atom. It basically has one nature. It's not like complex molecules which can form in different ways (see left handed vs right handed sugar for an example). Unless we are talking about isotopes (and even then I have seen no documentation how different isotopes of carbon or oxygen in CO2 changes global warming effects) there is no difference in the nature of CO2. NONE. Now if you are talking about other gasses as a result of burning coal and and oil derived fuels, that is an entirely different can of beans.
For the same reason any of us do anything: a better future for myself, my family, and the rest of the world.mrswdk wrote:The question still remains: why even bother fighting climate change?
lol. Very noble.Metsfanmax wrote:For the same reason any of us do anything: a better future for myself, my family, and the rest of the world.mrswdk wrote:The question still remains: why even bother fighting climate change?
Read this.mrswdk wrote:lol. Very noble.Metsfanmax wrote:For the same reason any of us do anything: a better future for myself, my family, and the rest of the world.mrswdk wrote:The question still remains: why even bother fighting climate change?
We should care about what happens to the world in 100 years because boogie woogie.Metsfanmax wrote:Read this.mrswdk wrote:lol. Very noble.Metsfanmax wrote:For the same reason any of us do anything: a better future for myself, my family, and the rest of the world.mrswdk wrote:The question still remains: why even bother fighting climate change?
No "we should" but "we do." The article is not advising you to care about future generations, it's pointing out that you already do. People write books with the assumption that there will be other people around to read them, perhaps not forever, but for a good long time. People make sculptures with the assumption that there will be people to admire them, perhaps not forever, but for a good long time.mrswdk wrote:We should care about what happens to the world in 100 years because boogie woogie.Metsfanmax wrote:Read this.mrswdk wrote:lol. Very noble.Metsfanmax wrote:For the same reason any of us do anything: a better future for myself, my family, and the rest of the world.mrswdk wrote:The question still remains: why even bother fighting climate change?
Maybe to you. Me personally, I couldn't care less.Dukasaur wrote:Physical death is scary enough, but memetic death -- the idea that our achievements will vanish and be observed by nobody, is scarier yet.
I believe that more or less qualifies you as a sociopath, and if so it makes sense that you literally cannot understand our perspective.mrswdk wrote:Maybe to you. Me personally, I couldn't care less.Dukasaur wrote:Physical death is scary enough, but memetic death -- the idea that our achievements will vanish and be observed by nobody, is scarier yet.
We've already discovered in other threads that you don't feel a normal range of human emotions. It's impossible to make you perceive something that you're genetically incapable of perceiving. Let's just say, for the 98% of us that experience human feelings, the above is true, and leave it at that.mrswdk wrote:I don't understand why you'd give a shit. After you die, you're dead. Who cares what happens after that? It doesn't affect you at all.
What we are trying to explain is that it does affect us and we don't have a choice about that. Most people can't willingly make go away the fact that we care about what other people think of us, and care that they're doing alright. (Although it is easier to ignore the latter in day-to-day life if the suffering is not at your doorstep. But if forced to think about it, most of us can't help but feel that it's miserable that this suffering exists.)mrswdk wrote:If you guys want to waste your life worrying about something that doesn't even affect you then that's your choice.
How do events that happen 20 years after my death affect me?Metsfanmax wrote:What we are trying to explain is that it does affect us and we don't have a choice about that. Most people can't willingly make go away the fact that we care about what other people think of us, and care that they're doing alright.mrswdk wrote:If you guys want to waste your life worrying about something that doesn't even affect you then that's your choice.
Well, this is what that piece was trying to explain. Suppose that you really love art, and are getting on in your years. You want to leave something to the world so that they can appreciate art as much as you do. You spend the last good years of your life building an art gallery. This way there's something there for future generations to see. But suppose there are no future generations. Then what would have been the point of building the gallery? If you knew that the future generations would be wiped out before you started the task, you likely wouldn't decide to build the gallery; you'd do something else instead.mrswdk wrote:How do events that happen 20 years after my death affect me?Metsfanmax wrote:What we are trying to explain is that it does affect us and we don't have a choice about that. Most people can't willingly make go away the fact that we care about what other people think of us, and care that they're doing alright.mrswdk wrote:If you guys want to waste your life worrying about something that doesn't even affect you then that's your choice.