Conquer Club

trinicardinal wrote:

betiko wrote:i don t know the probability; but T=1 is impossible for any VT who read it. for PR, it is almost impossible still very unlikely.

Huh? I'm afraid I don't follow you betiko. all in all though I have to say this game is pretty short of major discussion overall...

@pcm yeah you delved into maths again but this is by far the most suitable maths discussion for the thread thus far I think. I'm still wating to hear more from vodean though. his latest post sounds like he's scum who has given up quite frankly.

if i were scum, then a) i would be more into it because i love playing scum, and b)i would not give up because town is stagnating and has no leads.

Im a VT. i can try to add more details but i cant quote my role PM, and with such a short one (i assume that scum also has short role PMs so this neither confirms nor denies that i am town), i would worry that adding more info would just get me modkilled.

Vote no lynch because I forgot I had to vote.

it kind of sucks not to have any flavour in this game. first time i play with no character names or whatever... really not helping when we get claims. iron butterfly and samgrossy are almost not participating. can we prod them?

betiko wrote:it kind of sucks not to have any flavour in this game. first time i play with no character names or whatever... really not helping when we get claims. iron butterfly and samgrossy are almost not participating. can we prod them?

I am here. I agree with your assessment of the game. It seems we are more focused on the setup of the game based on the number of VT. I suck at math and frankly find it annoying. The problem we have is that weather it is T3-T5 or what not, if someone pressured who really is mafia they will claim VT.

SO... I am going to claim.

I am a VT.

If you decide to lynch me no loss as I am VT and it will give you a better idea of where the game format stands.

How ya like that for a game shake up and something to discuss??

what the hell... this is stalling, I kind of softclaimed it saying that T=1 is impossible, I am VT as well. we are 8 and we are onl facing 2 enemies, and there is only 1 kill per night.

here's the situation:

Violet
trinicardinal
samgrossy
Jonty
thechuck51 (pancakemix 2.0)

vodean claimed VT
Iron Butterfly claimed VT
Betiko claimed VT

if we all say the truth, T=5 or 7

betiko wrote:I kind of softclaimed it saying that T=1 is impossible,

I did think you saying that was a bit strange

betiko wrote:we are only facing 2 enemies, and there is only 1 kill per night.

I disagree with this entirely when T=5 and 7 there are Mafia Goon, Mafia 1-Shot Bus Driver, Serial Killer as scum roles. Mafia Goon & Serial Killer are dead, so we are left with the Mafia 1-Shot Bus Driver. Also, the reason there is 1 kill a night is that there is only scum left, the SK is dead. I am assuming we don't have a vig.

jonty125 wrote:

betiko wrote:I kind of softclaimed it saying that T=1 is impossible,

I did think you saying that was a bit strange

betiko wrote:we are only facing 2 enemies, and there is only 1 kill per night.

I disagree with this entirely when T=5 and 7 there are Mafia Goon, Mafia 1-Shot Bus Driver, Serial Killer as scum roles. Mafia Goon & Serial Killer are dead, so we are left with the Mafia 1-Shot Bus Driver. Also, the reason there is 1 kill a night is that there is only scum left, the SK is dead. I am assuming we don't have a vig.

you are right, basically if t=5 or 7, we would have only 1 enemy, didn't recheck these configs, even better then. not sure we are 3 vts for sure (i can only be sure of myself..)

who is ok with a mass claim? if we see many vts, we will be able to determine what T is equal to and if it's high enough would mean we have just 1 enemy. we got this. can the remaining 4 claim please?

Are the Town PRs randomized as well?

Iron Butterfly wrote:Are the Town PRs randomized as well?

Yes

Then a mass claim will solve nothing as mafia can claim whatever it wants with out fear.

Well there are only a set amount of roles that the PRs could be.

Iron Butterfly wrote:Then a mass claim will solve nothing as mafia can claim whatever it wants with out fear.

nope. we will have 6 real claims and 2 fake claims. if any scum claims power role, they will have to prove it and if they fail we will kill them. we will be able to assume that the 2 fakeclaims will most possibly be vts, otherwise mafia will be putting itself in a bad position. also, let's keep in mind that we are most lokely facing only 1 enemy now. if we are 3 real vts left or more, then there is only one enemy.

of course, i guess this mass claim will not be in mafia's interest and i suspect one or two of you in particular to protest.

I am fine with a mass-claim. I am also a VT.

A mass claim is fine with me also since I'm also a VT.

Interesting! so there we are!


samgrossy
Jonty
thechuck51 (pancakemix 2.0)

vodean claimed VT
Iron Butterfly claimed VT
Betiko claimed VT
Violet claimed VT
trinicardinal claimed VT

option A
6 non randomized including 3 enemies, 3vts (ve have 3 dead VTs that will be all counted in here)
7 randomized. we have 5 new VT claims for now, of which only 1 could be not telling the truth as there is only one scum left. T= at least 4 and has to be rounded up to the next odd number as they are the only ones with a serial killer role. so T=5 or T=7, which all works out.

option B
6 non randomized including 4 enemies, 2vts (ve have 3 dead VTs so last one is going to the randomized)
7 randomized. that would make us 6 vts (including the dead one), including 1 or 2 mafia that have already fakeclaimed among the 5vt claims at the most. T would be T=4 minimum, so would have to be rounded up to 5, and would not be possible since the only 2 options would be t=5 or t=7 even with 2 mafia fakeclaims till now.

conclusion: unless we have some power roles that fake claimed VT, which would be stupid, we are certain now that we are facing 1 and only enemy. I'd like to hear the claim of the remaining 3 guys; please tell me we have a cop and a doc!!

betiko wrote:please tell me we have... a doc!!

Wish granted.

Also, willing to be lynched for science.

pancakemix wrote:

betiko wrote:please tell me we have... a doc!!

Wish granted.

Also, willing to be lynched for science.

why would you say that? why wouldn't you not want to be night killed for science? if you are the only power role you are busted because T would be an even number!

pancakemix wrote:

betiko wrote:please tell me we have... a doc!!

Wish granted.

Also, willing to be lynched for science.

That also means that T=5? in which case we also have another power role out there?

trinicardinal wrote:

pancakemix wrote:

betiko wrote:please tell me we have... a doc!!

Wish granted.

Also, willing to be lynched for science.

That also means that T=5? in which case we also have another power role out there?

exactly!
hopefully we don't, and in that case it's game over for pancake!

I am Town Tracker.

N1 track Campin, he visited nobody.
N2 track Violet, she visited nobody ergo, she is town

let's not comment anything before samgrossy gives the final claim!

doom can you please prod him?

jonty125 wrote:I am Town Tracker.

N1 track Campin, he visited nobody.
N2 track Violet, she visited nobody ergo, she is town

or mafia goon.
this was fucking stupid guys. unvote vote betiko for suggesting this. all the PRs are outed, and we have no info.

vodean wrote:

jonty125 wrote:I am Town Tracker.

N1 track Campin, he visited nobody.
N2 track Violet, she visited nobody ergo, she is town

or mafia goon.
this was fucking stupid guys. unvote vote betiko for suggesting this. all the PRs are outed, and we have no info.

Nope, if T=5 or T=7, there is one scum alive. They must have perform the kill on N2.

samgrossy has been prodded.

jonty125 wrote:

vodean wrote:

jonty125 wrote:I am Town Tracker.

N1 track Campin, he visited nobody.
N2 track Violet, she visited nobody ergo, she is town

or mafia goon.
this was fucking stupid guys. unvote vote betiko for suggesting this. all the PRs are outed, and we have no info.

Nope, if T=5 or T=7, there is one scum alive. They must have perform the kill on N2.

or there are two scum and they are both claiming VT. we have no way of knowing. they have total control