Conquer Club

cicero wrote:

KLOBBER wrote:The following, in red, is an absolutely irrefutable fact:

There are absolutely no predictable likelihoods, greater or lesser, associated with the actual dice patterns on this site. Every single one of these complaints is based on unscientific, incorrect theories and bad predictions, nothing more, nothing less.

I'm going to try a different tack in an attempt to make the point I tried to make 8 posts back ...

This is the new tack:
I completely agree with your irrefutable fact Klobber. I mean that sincerely.

This is the clever bit ( ) :
That is why I long ago gave up posting in this thread (to argue that the dice are in fact legitimate). It's good for my health and, more importantly, good for the health of thread which can then serve its purpose of allowing the dice-unbeliever's to let off steam. Coming in here to argue with the dice un-believers blocks their outlet ...

KLOBBER wrote:The "dice analyzer," whatever in the world that may be, is obviously wrong.

Maybe you should get an "intensity level" analyzer, or better yet, realize that predicting the unpredictable is impossible, no matter what you call your predictable and unscientific computer program.

If you set for yourself an impossible task, then you are bound to fail, and this is what has happened to you, sadly.

I'm very happy with the dice, as I simply accept them as they are: unpredictable.

Learn.

lackattack wrote:Yeah it's really hard to know if you were unlucky or the dice are not random enough.

Just to be safe, I replaced the default random number generator with a better one.

Maybe some day I would add a no-luck option, but it's not something I want to build right now.

RADAGA wrote:2009-04-29 14:37:41 - RADAGA deployed 7 troops on Warburton
2009-04-29 14:37:55 - RADAGA deployed 10 troops on Tennant Creek
2009-04-29 14:38:01 - RADAGA assaulted Port Hedland from Warburton and conquered it from IvoryCoast Ninja
2009-04-29 14:38:09 - RADAGA assaulted Goldfields from Port Hedland and conquered it from IvoryCoast Ninja
2009-04-29 14:38:14 - RADAGA assaulted Kimberley from Goldfields and conquered it from IvoryCoast Ninja
2009-04-29 14:38:21 - RADAGA assaulted Alice Springs from Kimberley and conquered it from IvoryCoast Ninja
2009-04-29 14:38:41 - RADAGA assaulted Arnhem Land from Tennant Creek and conquered it from IvoryCoast Ninja
2009-04-29 14:38:52 - RADAGA assaulted Darwin from Arnhem Land and conquered it from IvoryCoast Ninja
2009-04-29 14:39:01 - RADAGA assaulted Mt. Isa from Tennant Creek and conquered it from IvoryCoast Ninja

As usual, all of their defended by 1.
I had 5 troops on Warburton already, and 3 on tennant creek.

25 troops to conquer seven territories. He is a (paying) Lt. so I won seven 3x1 and lost 16 (I stopped before I ran out of armies)

It is getting all-too-common to get improbable results like those.

RADAGA wrote:

KLOBBER wrote:The "dice analyzer," whatever in the world that may be, is obviously wrong.

Maybe you should get an "intensity level" analyzer, or better yet, realize that predicting the unpredictable is impossible, no matter what you call your predictable and unscientific computer program.

If you set for yourself an impossible task, then you are bound to fail, and this is what has happened to you, sadly.

I'm very happy with the dice, as I simply accept them as they are: unpredictable.

Learn.

Unwanted, unasked, unnecessary, uneducated, unfortunate, unforgivable sarcasm, however, unfortunatelly, not uncommon neither unintentional at all.

RADAGA wrote:Nine 3x1 misses in a row. What are the odds?

lancehoch wrote:

RADAGA wrote:Nine 3x1 misses in a row. What are the odds?

0.01298%

a.sub wrote:

lancehoch wrote:

RADAGA wrote:Nine 3x1 misses in a row. What are the odds?

0.01298%

75.4243827% chance of winning a 3v1
24.57561728% chance of losing a 3v1
.0003269940997% chance of losing 9
or 1 out of 465661

Beatfactor wrote:I hear a lot of players on here complaining about the way the dice falls, either abusively of they have a little grrr but hide it behind a friendly chat. I being one of them. I have played many games like many others and we put a lot of effort and thought into our strategies. Yet they are all blown away by the shear bad luck of how the dice rolls. Example. I played against a player and i destroyed 93 of his troops with just 54 of mine and i still had 23 to carry on and take his castle in feudal. During the same day, i attacked 71 with 112 and i was killed down to 8 yet he still had 2.
My question is, who actually controls the dice and what is the real win/lose ratio on the dice? And can it be set to 50/50 so ppl can play with strategy and not luck, hoping the dice don't screw them up.
I know it just a game but there are a few ppl out there who take it seriously and end up throwing abusive language about or ppl are called bad team player or are foed.

There, thats my whining for the day LOL!!! Have fun ppl

[player]Beatfactor[/player]

Beatfactor wrote:My question is, who actually controls the dice

Beatfactor wrote:what is the real win/lose ratio on the dice?

Beatfactor wrote:And can it be set to 50/50 so ppl can play with strategy and not luck, hoping the dice don't screw them up.

s3xt0y wrote:f*ck the dice, sorry for going off topic...just hating them right now, instead of being up a lot of points, im down a lot of points grrrrrr

s3x

Bruceswar wrote:11 vs 1 vs 1 vs 1 vs 1 vs 1 vs 3 vs 1 vs 1 vs 1 with 2 left over

lancehoch wrote:Thezz (and anyone else who may not realize), that post was made in Q&A and was merged into this thread.

Thezzaruz wrote:

Beatfactor wrote:what is the real win/lose ratio on the dice?

Why don't you get the Dice Analyzer plug-in. It will show you both your own results and the expected ones (of a truly random dice). Then go throw a couple of thousands dies and don't come back to bitch unless your numbers greatly varies from the expected.

Thezzaruz wrote:

Bruceswar wrote:11 vs 1 vs 1 vs 1 vs 1 vs 1 vs 3 vs 1 vs 1 vs 1 with 2 left over

I'm not going to bother with all but this one actually isn't that unlikely...