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If you don't know and don't care, and don't have any clue what it is you are actually talking about, then shut the f*ck up about NOAA. You're free to admit that you are uninformed about scientific issues, and to have no opinion on the issue of climate change. But don't then turn around and start talking about how you don't trust NOAA because they "falsify" data. That's some sneaky, dishonest as hell bullshit right there.patches70 wrote: People like me? Look dude, you are the parrot. I don't know, I don't care, I don't believe you, I don't trust you, I don't trust who you parrot, I don't trust your plan (or rather, the plans you parrot).
I don't trust NOAA. Why should I? NASA in regards to this issue admits itself there was an error, and that it's no big deal-Metsfanmax wrote:If you don't know and don't care, and don't have any clue what it is you are actually talking about, then shut the f*ck up about NOAA. You're free to admit that you are uninformed about scientific issues, and to have no opinion on the issue of climate change. But don't then turn around and start talking about how you don't trust NOAA because they "falsify" data. That's some sneaky, dishonest as hell bullshit right there.patches70 wrote: People like me? Look dude, you are the parrot. I don't know, I don't care, I don't believe you, I don't trust you, I don't trust who you parrot, I don't trust your plan (or rather, the plans you parrot).
For example, China is the world's largest green energy market and the world's largest producer of solar, hydroelectric and wind power, but some people 'manipulate' those statistics in order to try and downplay China's achievements.BigBallinStalin wrote:I zipped through the articles by the Environmentalist, no-PhD guy and Forbes, but none of them addressed methodological issues. How is the data being 'manipulated'? Steve Goddard just shows two different graphs, sites old quotations, and screams 'Manipulation!!' Okay... how?
("manipulated." Adding an additional control variable or removing one can be called 'manipulating' the model. That's what econometrics is: manipulating models through statistics. There's nothing inherently wrong with that because 'manipulating' refers to modifying.... The Forbes article lightly mentioned that manipulation can simply be running a different regression with a better model and/or better data).
Yes, "something going on" is scientists calculating temperature records. Sometimes scientists make mistakes. Then, these mistakes get found and corrected, as indicated. It's a huge leap to go from a minor mistake that doesn't affect any large-scale trends, to them "falsifying" data.patches70 wrote: Of course they'll say it's no big deal, otherwise that would look really bad. You can't deny that there is something going on because they admit it.
I don't know if that's true. I mean, NASA's budget has been nearly monotonically declining since the Apollo program:Trust, dude, and you never address the conflict of interest problems either. Can't you admit that the threat of global warming is good for NOAA and NASA budgets?

This type of question is unfair. Many of the most important discoveries of the 20th century happened through government funding. For example, the accelerated expansion of the universe (i.e. the discovery of "dark energy.") Do you question those results? Do you think that the astronomers falsified data to prove that this dark matter and dark energy exist so that they could get more grant funding? Do you think that high energy physicists falsified data about subatomic particles so that we could build the Large Hadron Collider? Do you think that paleontologists invented fossils to prove the theory of evolution so that the NSF would fund more dig sites? The answer to these questions is probably "no" since there's no particular reason to believe this is the case, and because we have a system of peer review, run by egotistical scientists who generally love the opportunity to disprove a competitor's work.Then with that in hand, what problems do you then foresee happening when you have such conflicts of interests?
Nothing! That's what you don't get. For most people this just seems to be yet another attempt to relieve more people of more money.mets wrote:What makes this issue different from any of the others?
It's not this one particular field, Mets, though you don't wanna see that. We have the same arguments about education, immigration, welfare, virtually any issue you could name and they all have their particular sciences all arguing with each other.Metsfanmax wrote: So why is that suddenly on this one issue in one particular field, do scientists suddenly get accused of falsifying data to generate grant funding?
You should consider how this philosophy applies to yourself. You have your identity invested in something. It is the belief that government is generally to be distrusted. This is biasing you to be skeptical of something that has near-universal agreement from the people who study it. So why aren't you considering how this idea applies to you? Might your universal skepticism not be leading you astray on some issues that scientists are actually right about? You might call me Cassandra, but I might call you this kid:patches70 wrote: The thing is, you have your whole identity invested in this, though you probably won't admit it.

But it's actually even worse than universal skepticism. At least that is consistent, if not ignorant. But you're not just universally skeptical. For some reason, you're only skeptical of the government. NASA's budget is just under $20 billion, and its Earth Science budget is only 10% of that. Meanwhile, last year's profits for the US oil and gas industry was $33 billion. Now, it's usually fossil fuel interests that are the most vocal opponents of anthropogenic climate change theory. So if the hypothesis is that people will do dishonest things to keep making money -- who should we really trust here?That makes people distrustful, and rightfully so Mets. It's not my fault you don't see that. But you'd be much better served accepting that truism.
When is the last time you sued Peabody Energy for the 10,000-odd deaths that are caused each year by air pollution from burning coal?That's one thing you should certainly be advocating for a whole hell of a lot more. Greater property rights. If someone damages or pollutes my property, be they my neighbor, corporation or the government I should be able to seek restitution to the point that it would be so cost negative for them that they wouldn't ruin anyone's little piece of the Earth in the first place.
I don't think you understand how pollution works. Air pollution from northern China reaches Korea and Japan from time to time, and some very small amounts supposedly even reach the west coast of the US.patches70 wrote:You wanna convince someone to pay attention to global warming? Go talk to the Chinese. Those [mutually respected fellow citizens of this planet] are polluting and destroying rampantly. They merely poison themselves, but if you wanna save someone, they need the saving.
I think it's fascinating that he made that argument to begin with. It seems that for a difficult to measure quantity like pollution, he just trusts government statistics that suggest that China is now responsible for more pollution than we are. Yet for a quantity that you can measure with a thermometer, he thinks there's a big government conspiracy afoot.mrswdk wrote:I don't think you understand how pollution works. Air pollution from northern China reaches Korea and Japan from time to time, and some very small amounts supposedly even reach the west coast of the US.patches70 wrote:You wanna convince someone to pay attention to global warming? Go talk to the Chinese. Those [mutually respected fellow citizens of this planet] are polluting and destroying rampantly. They merely poison themselves, but if you wanna save someone, they need the saving.
Nah, China is a big ball of pollution. I read it on someone's blog.mrswdk wrote:For example, China is the world's largest green energy market and the world's largest producer of solar, hydroelectric and wind power, but some people 'manipulate' those statistics in order to try and downplay China's achievements.BigBallinStalin wrote:I zipped through the articles by the Environmentalist, no-PhD guy and Forbes, but none of them addressed methodological issues. How is the data being 'manipulated'? Steve Goddard just shows two different graphs, sites old quotations, and screams 'Manipulation!!' Okay... how?
("manipulated." Adding an additional control variable or removing one can be called 'manipulating' the model. That's what econometrics is: manipulating models through statistics. There's nothing inherently wrong with that because 'manipulating' refers to modifying.... The Forbes article lightly mentioned that manipulation can simply be running a different regression with a better model and/or better data).
No doubt government efforts to block out any and all competition will be resulting in a high quality, affordable domestic alternative being created some time soon. That's how innovation works - duh!BigBallinStalin wrote:Nah, China is a big ball of pollution. I read it on someone's blog.mrswdk wrote:For example, China is the world's largest green energy market and the world's largest producer of solar, hydroelectric and wind power, but some people 'manipulate' those statistics in order to try and downplay China's achievements.BigBallinStalin wrote:I zipped through the articles by the Environmentalist, no-PhD guy and Forbes, but none of them addressed methodological issues. How is the data being 'manipulated'? Steve Goddard just shows two different graphs, sites old quotations, and screams 'Manipulation!!' Okay... how?
("manipulated." Adding an additional control variable or removing one can be called 'manipulating' the model. That's what econometrics is: manipulating models through statistics. There's nothing inherently wrong with that because 'manipulating' refers to modifying.... The Forbes article lightly mentioned that manipulation can simply be running a different regression with a better model and/or better data).
That reminds me. There was a green solution for the US: let people buy Chinese solar equipment without a tariff. Instead, the tariff was increased because 'jahbs'. Such a shame that the US missed this opportunity.
I don't need you and anyone like you to buy into the plan. Only 268 people who are very different from you. I would like to have you on board, and it would help in convincing those 268 people, but it's actually not necessary. Do I wish that I could just easily convince people using rational discussion? Of course I do. But I'm sitting here pouring out pages of information on the issue and people are still simply refusing to accept what is going on.patches70 wrote:Hey, Mets, you can blast me all you want, but you need me and people like me to buy into your plan.
I give it a thought. A lot more than you might think. In fact, you sure do give me a lot of advice, but not much credit for thinking about it. I donate a significant amount of my free time to working on this issue. I pay attention to what matters. You, on the other hand, openly admit to not caring at all about the issue, yet you ladle out advice like it's worth a damn. In fact, in basically all of these threads you come in here boasting about how much you don't care about it, and how you want me to leave you out of my donation scheme. Well, naw, I'm not going to do that, because if you pollute and degrade my quality of life, you're going to pay for it*. Get over it. If you don't like it, call your representative and tell them you oppose a carbon tax. But you're not going to convince me that your opinion on this is worth anything at all when you're proud of how ignorant you are.You need more than science, dude, you need charisma. You need people to trust you and believe you. Not you, per say, but whomever the spokesman is. The messenger matters, you may not accept that, but you should give that a thought.
Y'all have Glenn Beck and Mel Gibson. Your move.Here it is, mets, I'd ask you a small favor if you would. Listen to Danny Glover
I can't think of any well regarded climate scientists who make such a claim. Even Judith Curry and Richard Lindzen, who are both generally legitimate scientists and very well known for publicly doubting the consensus estimate of the climate sensitivity, say it's probably 1 degree Celsius or more. If you find me a Ph.D. climate scientist out there who thinks that CO2 doesn't warm the Earth, I'll be absolutely flabbergasted. I'll be absolutely flabbergasted because it's basic, fundamental knowledge that it is the combination of carbon dioxide and water that makes our Earth's temperature livable. Go ahead and calculate what the Earth's temperature would be if it were in equilibrium with the Sun's radiation only. Hint: it's cold.shickingbrits wrote: There are scientists who state that CO2 causes no warming, where are they in the above paragraph?
I am not bothering to respond because you don't even understand what you're talking about. For example, you (like most people who got mad about this) probably think that the "decline" of "hide the decline" fame is a decline in temperature. Actually, that's not the case, it's a decline in something else entirely. Read more about it first, and then we can talk.shickingbrits wrote:No answer to the data manipulation done by the scientist you "regard well".
I asked for your source for this claim, and you have yet to come up with it.I have stated and you have failed to disprove that CO2 causes cooling
There's thousands of research papers and many, many review papers and assessment reports that testify to this fact. You're ignoring them, seemingly, because of one yet-to-be-produced "John Hopkins" paper. So yeah, I don't know either where we can go from here.What you have failed to prove is that CO2 causes dangerous levels of warming,
So where did your sheep avatar go? Why did you make a new account?shickingbrits wrote:Sorry if you were going to reply Mets.
Since the scientific community has reached such a high rate of consensus, I see no reason to fund them a further $50b so they can get the last few percent to agree. With such a high rate of agreement, we don't require lobbyists on the issue.
Instead, I think we should thank them for their work and dismiss them.
The funds that were allocated for their research can be converted to awards for students who come up with solutions. The award should cover the cost of their education. Since their tuition covers the cost of research facilities, all patents derived from their research should become the the property of each and every citizen (not the government). If covering their education leaves an excess of funding, these funds can be used to put their discoveries into use, shared by each and every citizen.
Some examples of research accomplishments that students paid for with their own funds but got no part of:
Zero-energy greenhouses
Cheap and effective battery made of common products
Low wind energy turbines
Rocket-stoves and ovens
Though each of these ideas proved effective, none have seen the light of day.
All in favor, say Aye.

Thanks. I don't have a whole lot of time right now to look into this. However, I skimmed the paper. It is quite technical so it would take a bit to digest. However, if the summary is to be trusted, the key part isshickingbrits wrote: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/20 ... 111055.htm
The paper itself, in the conclusions section, is simply arguing that some of the negative feedback effects from water might be as strong as the positive feedback ones. If that's true, it still leaves the warming directly from the CO2 itself, which is non-negligible. Either way, it's not arguing that water is negating the effect of CO2. It states openly the well known fact that CO2 triggers more water vapor, and argues that there's another feedback which may ultimately counteract this water feedback.Hence, this effect may actually slightly weaken the more dire forecasted aspects of an increasing warming of our climate, the scientists say.
shickingbrits wrote:Making a new account is against the rules.
I quite clearly am a rule follower. I was acquitted of being a multi.

Sounds like someone's hypothetical wife needs a bit more hypothetical discipline.shickingbrits wrote:Making a new account is against the rules.
I quite clearly am a rule follower. I was acquitted of being a multi.
Why some people may make a new account, pure speculation...
Perhaps their wife was annoyed with the amount of time they spent on CC and deliberately got them banned. The wife then changed the account password. If it were a long ban, let's say 6 months, then the person couldn't rejoin for that period of time anyways. After that period of time, the person would have to somehow bother getting a new password, and being a spontaneous decision, might not bother with the formalities when their old account had been reduced to a rookies points anyways and the username had been denied changing by admin prior to the ban.
But who knows the devious minds of rule breakers? Probably not even worth speculating.