Victor Sullivan wrote:1. The Cuban Missile Crisis: If Khrushchev's ships had crossed the quarantine line, what do you theorize would have happened? How would the world be different today?
2. Where does Russia currently stand in the world with regard to military power, economic power, and other influential power(s)?
3. What is something that is commonly said about Russia, Russians, the Soviet Union, or Soviets that is a major misconception?
-Sully
1. I will go TGD answer. In all seriousness I have no clue. I see it going one of two ways, 1. the USA pulls the trigger and WW3 goes off with all the nuclear loveliness that implies. Or 2. Khrushchev has successfully called the USA's bluff and the Soviet Union gets nukes in Cuba leading to a major foreign policy victory for Khrushchev. This would have probably meant that Nikita would have been around much longer, meaning his reforms might have been implemented fully perhaps making the CCCP more viable, as well as possibly leading to serious advantages in the battle for client states.
I personally think 2 to be more likely as I doubt the Americans would have risked thermonuclear war over. The Soviet could already wipe out the USA with its ICBMs besides the Americans had a balance of nukes in turkey. To risk nuclear war over it though... you can see why Nikita would back down.
2. interesting question. In terms of one on one military comparisons, taking in Nuclear capabilities I would say #2 still. Russia remains the only country that could completely destroy America. Nuclear aside nuclear arsenals and going purely conventional my guess would be #3 or possibly #4. China I suspect surpasses in terms of conventional capabilities, though Russian air power is still much more advanced, but then you throw in the question of how much hardware decay has Russia undergone since the cold war and it gets fuzzy.
Economic power is also interesting. On the one hand their manufacturing base is much reduced and their science sector has also seriously deteriorated. However their raw materials particularly oil have greatly increased in value. However any way you cut it their economic influence is much reduced, for instance I think the Netherlands has a larger GDP. Though Russia's potential for growth is enormous, but held back by domestic political factors.
Other influential power. Here Russia still has a good deal of punch. They are one of the worlds largest military goods purveyor, I believe second only to the USA though China may be nipping at their heels in gross dollar value. The real strength here though is Russia is still the best place to go to for more advanced weaponry if you're a little dodgy politicly. Think the Russian's selling Iran advanced anti-aircraft weapons. They also sell tanks, aircraft and other modern/semi-modern military hardware. Though often the purchasers don't have the training to use them as effectively as the Russians could.
As a result of this Russia maintains quite a bit of political influence and is often useful to the west in bargaining with nations of ill repute. They can also be a huge pain in the ass if they want to, thanks to their UN security council vote.
Their oil gives them quite a bit of political power as well. They can use it as a cudgel to badger the EU for economic deals for example, though its a little double edged.
However again their global influence is much decreased. Still among the power players but nowhere near its former position.
3. That the USSR was terrible all the time. The place was basically a giant prison camp.
While the USSR made great use of coercive methods, it wasn't all Gulag and jackboots. There was a great deal of positive community networking, neighbours helped neighbours, very little crime(other than black market activity), you never had to worry about a job, housing was cramped but it was always affordable, there were great
paying educational opportunities if you were qualified so in general if you kept your head down it wasn't all that bad a place to be.
This isin't to say the Soviet Union didn't have the Gulag and didn't use many coercive methods. I am just saying that the Soviet Union could actually be a pretty decent place so long as you played by the rules and wasn't all misery.
About Russia; Bread lines, crushing poverty, all vodka all the time, the police will bundle you in a truck and make you disappear!
Russia today is not the Russia of the 90's. Economically it has stabilized and even come to a measure of prosperity in certain areas. Many areas remain poor but it is not the situation you often hear imagined (bread lines ect) the shops are full and produce is plentiful.
It's true alcoholism remains a big problem. However you sometimes get the impression people think its a crazy place where instead of water vodka pours from the taps. "you can smell the vodka when you take the metro!" . Sometimes that's true but Russia is not a nation of alcoholics. They have a good number of them but its not as absurd as people think it to be.
Police. In some ways Russia is allot like the Soviet union in this respect, only that he rules have been greatly reduced. Play by the rules and your ok, get too nosy or too political and you risk encountering problems. Though you might want to worry about the Mafia more than the state.
Oh one more
Russia as Evil empire.
People often think of Russia as this malignant state bent on fucking everyone over and global domination. I don't think that's the case. What I would say it is a very traditional state. To a certain extent Russia's policy makers still think like policy makers did in the days of empire. They are very concerned with hard power as it benefits Russia and it seems do not see the benefit of working with others if it dose not obviously and directly benefit Russia.