Streaky Dice Question

[natty dread]

YOUR MOTHER! LOL!

[lord of the frys]

ive had as many good streaks as bad ones....but i will admit, the bad ones do last longer.
normally i have a really good day maybe 2....but then the pattern hits bad and never goes away in a day or 2.

but the person that said stop playing when bad pattern starts for a bit....tried that, doesnt work. you just have to wait it out.
but yes it doesnt matter what type or style of play...it does happen.

and no it does not matter how good you are.

[AndyDufresne]

If you wait a really long time, like an infinite amount of time before you roll again, you don't get any bad rolls.


--Andy

[Condestável]

The Bullshit Dice never rests, though.

And so the Nerddy.

[AndyDufresne]

The Bullshit Dice never rests, though.

And so the Nerddy.

Ah, it's been a while since we've heard from you! How goes the rolling?


--Andy

[Condestável]

The Bullshit Dice never rests, though.

And so the Nerddy.

Ah, it's been a while since we've heard from you! How goes the rolling?


--Andy

Proportional to my premium contribution. As always.

Minutes ago:

2012-02-02 20:55:23 - xroads got bonus of 2 troops added to USSR Bunker 1
2012-02-02 20:55:23 - xroads got bonus of 2 troops added to USSR Bunker 2
2012-02-02 20:55:23 - xroads received 3 troops for holding 3 Uranium Processing Plants
2012-02-02 20:55:23 - xroads received 2 troops for holding USSR Premier
2012-02-02 20:55:23 - xroads received 2 troops for holding USSR Launch Code
2012-02-02 20:55:23 - xroads received 4 troops for 14 regions
2012-02-02 20:55:30 - xroads deployed 11 troops on Magadan
2012-02-02 20:55:32 - xroads assaulted USSR Spy 2 from Magadan and conquered it from neutral player
2012-02-02 20:55:38 - xroads bombarded USA President from USSR Spy 2 and annihilated Condestável's troops
2012-02-02 20:55:43 - xroads bombarded Seaborg from USSR Spy 2 and annihilated Condestável's troops
2012-02-02 20:55:57 - xroads reinforced USSR Premier with 7 troops from USSR Spy 2
2012-02-02 20:55:57 - xroads ended the turn and got spoils

xroads kills 16 freemium men, casualties=0.

lol, f*ck this.

[Swimmerdude99]

I'm down 1200 points, anyone want some?

[zimmah]

If you wait a really long time, like an infinite amount of time before you roll again, you don't get any bad rolls.


--Andy

sadly, neither will you get any good rolls.

[AndyDufresne]

If you wait a really long time, like an infinite amount of time before you roll again, you don't get any bad rolls.


--Andy

sadly, neither will you get any good rolls.

True. If you visit a bakery, you might be able to locate some cinnamon rolls though, and those are pretty good rolls.


--Andy

[BigBallinStalin]

If you wait a really long time, like an infinite amount of time before you roll again, you don't get any bad rolls.


--Andy

sadly, neither will you get any good rolls.

True. If you visit a bakery, you might be able to locate some cinnamon rolls though, and those are pretty good rolls.


--Andy

This thread will be locked for too many happy thoughts.

Andy, You've Been Warned.

[isaiah40]

Yep streaky dice are good when they are on your side. I just went against a stack of 11 with 3 and won!!

[donkeymile]

Same old bullshit - have to agree with a recent poster about how the bad streaks alwasy outlast the good ones ... very odd that is ....

the funny thing is that I'm down 600 points now (lost 2 18v2 in the current streak again) and somehow seem to run into a bunch of opponents having good dice - now I realize thats part perception because my dice are so bad but it is true nonetheless.

I often times find myself checking my dice stats after I roll ... and also notice that it often times DOES NOT actually match what happened - another interesting CT for someone to jump on ....

the weird bad streaks are just enough for me not to renew when the time comes up .... funny how you NEVER go up in rank as fast as you drop - so common here and I do suspect ...

[natty dread]

Same old bullshit - have to agree with a recent poster about how the bad streaks alwasy outlast the good ones ... very odd that is ....

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias

[SimplyObsessed]

Yesterday I went from sergeant to major and back again.

[Condestável]

Same old bullshit - have to agree with a recent poster about how the bad streaks alwasy outlast the good ones ... very odd that is ....

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pedantry

[AndyDufresne]

Same old bullshit - have to agree with a recent poster about how the bad streaks alwasy outlast the good ones ... very odd that is ....

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pedantry

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forum_game

Oh wait, I got confused.

================

While watching the superbowl in the USA, they had a great stat about the NFC winning the opening coin toss 14 times in row.

The NFC has won every coin toss since the Green Bay Packers won theirs against the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XXXII, a streak that defies credulity. The odds against 14 straight victories for either team in the game? 16,384 to 1.

It made me think of CC.


--Andy

[natty dread]

While watching the superbowl in the USA, they had a great stat about the NFC winning the opening coin toss 14 times in row.

The NFC has won every coin toss since the Green Bay Packers won theirs against the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XXXII, a streak that defies credulity. The odds against 14 straight victories for either team in the game? 16,384 to 1.



It made me think of CC.

The funny thing is though, the chances for them to win the next coin toss are still exactly 1:1.

[AndyDufresne]

The funny thing is though, the chances for them to win the next coin toss are still exactly 1:1.

Let me just consult....




--Andy

[Condestável]

If I contribute with money for the cadge, will this bullshit

Recent battle outcomes (25 battles) Condestável 4.9 vs nicke1976 4.7
3 vs 2 3 vs 1 2 vs 2 2 vs 1 1 vs 2 1 vs 1
Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses
Assault -18% 10 18 +34% 2 0 -11% 5 13 +42% 2 0 +75% 1 0 +33% 3 1
Defend -46% 0 10 -21% 2 13 0 0 +58% 2 0 0 0 +8% 2 1
Total -26% 10 28 -14% 4 13 -11% 5 13 +50% 4 0 +75% 1 0 +23% 5 2

Overall battle outcomes Condestável 4.9 vs nicke1976 4.7
3 vs 2 3 vs 1 2 vs 2 2 vs 1 1 vs 2 1 vs 1
Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses
Assault -10% 23 29 -11% 6 5 -4% 7 13 +25% 5 1 +75% 1 0 +33% 3 1
Defend -11% 16 30 -11% 6 20 +39% 2 0 -12% 3 7 +26% 1 0 -8% 2 2
Total -10% 39 59 -11% 12 25 0% 9 13 +2% 8 8 +50% 2 0 +13% 5

...Ever normalise? I'm down 200 points in a few days that took me months to achieve.

CC, the gambling strategy game, where strategy is just like trying to be champion of Blackjack.

[natty dread]

Ugh...

I'm not even going to bother anymore.

[chang50]

If I contribute with money for the cadge, will this bullshit

Recent battle outcomes (25 battles) Condestável 4.9 vs nicke1976 4.7
3 vs 2 3 vs 1 2 vs 2 2 vs 1 1 vs 2 1 vs 1
Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses
Assault -18% 10 18 +34% 2 0 -11% 5 13 +42% 2 0 +75% 1 0 +33% 3 1
Defend -46% 0 10 -21% 2 13 0 0 +58% 2 0 0 0 +8% 2 1
Total -26% 10 28 -14% 4 13 -11% 5 13 +50% 4 0 +75% 1 0 +23% 5 2

Overall battle outcomes Condestável 4.9 vs nicke1976 4.7
3 vs 2 3 vs 1 2 vs 2 2 vs 1 1 vs 2 1 vs 1
Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses Luck Kills Losses
Assault -10% 23 29 -11% 6 5 -4% 7 13 +25% 5 1 +75% 1 0 +33% 3 1
Defend -11% 16 30 -11% 6 20 +39% 2 0 -12% 3 7 +26% 1 0 -8% 2 2
Total -10% 39 59 -11% 12 25 0% 9 13 +2% 8 8 +50% 2 0 +13% 5

...Ever normalise? I'm down 200 points in a few days that took me months to achieve.

CC, the gambling strategy game, where strategy is just like trying to be champion of Blackjack.

Has it ever occurred to you that perhaps,just perhaps,you are simply a poor player?I don't rate myself a good player either,but at least I don't blame my shortcomings on bad luck.Sorry if this sounds harsh,but I think it's what lots of players are thinking.

[AndyDufresne]

Condesteval, you should just stop using the 'bad' dice.




--Andy

[donkeymile]

Well I'm down about 700 now .... it's impossible to strategize against bad dice ...

Sitting around 2500 for a long time, and then suddenly drop 700 points is just insane .... it's almost funny to watch actually .... I find myself opening 1v1 tonight just to see how bad the dice turn ... and I'm not disappointed as I watch myself getting crushed with unbelieveable dice odds and ridiculous bonus drops (the only site that would allow such stupidity btw).

If this was true random - the dice should allow unreal hot streaks that would allow someone to JUMP 700 points as fast as they would fall it .... of course that never happens -

[BigBallinStalin]

Well I'm down about 700 now .... it's impossible to strategize against bad dice ...

Sitting around 2500 for a long time, and then suddenly drop 700 points is just insane .... it's almost funny to watch actually .... I find myself opening 1v1 tonight just to see how bad the dice turn ... and I'm not disappointed as I watch myself getting crushed with unbelieveable dice odds and ridiculous bonus drops (the only site that would allow such stupidity btw).

If this was true random - the dice should allow unreal hot streaks that would allow someone to JUMP 700 points as fast as they would fall it .... of course that never happens -

You just need more strategery.

[TeeGee]

my dice yesterday

my 10 stack took out a 9 stack and a 7 stack.. leaving me with 9.. 7 on my original stack and 2 singles on the terrs I took

Thanks to Andy for showing me the good dice