bad dice

the warrior65 · Post by **the warrior65** » Sat Jan 02, 2016 5:59 am

Can someone explain why my dices are so bad in the year 2016.

Am I punished for something I did?

Nymeria Stark · Post by **Nymeria Stark** » Sat Jan 02, 2016 8:34 am

chance.

owenshooter · Post by **owenshooter** » Sat Jan 02, 2016 11:20 am

the warrior65 wrote:Can someone explain why my dices are so bad in the year 2016.

Am I punished for something I did?

because you are using dices and not dice... try to use dice next time... good luck... the black jesus loves you...-Jésus noir

ESQuire · Post by **ESQuire** » Sat Jan 02, 2016 2:29 pm

the warrior65 wrote:Can someone explain why my dices are so bad in the year 2016.

Am I punished for something I did?

Short answer: Yes.
Longer explanation: Even if you haven't done something heinous enough to earn the bad rolls you are seeing, rest assured that you will. At that time in your life, your debt will already have been paid. So that will feel good!

the warrior65 · Post by **the warrior65** » Sun Jan 03, 2016 9:56 am

Oke I will try.

Thx for the suggestions

ronsizzle · Post by **ronsizzle** » Sun Jan 03, 2016 10:14 pm

this thread is gay as hell.

riskllama · Post by **riskllama** » Sat Jan 09, 2016 6:45 pm

ronc8649 wrote:this thread is gay as hell.

i believe the correct term is "gay as all hell", yes?

Symmetry · Post by **Symmetry** » Sat Jan 30, 2016 11:27 pm

riskllama wrote:
ronc8649 wrote:this thread is gay as hell.
i believe the correct term is "gay as all hell", yes?

For the religious, only certain levels of hell are for the gays. Well, some of the religious.

riskllama · Post by **riskllama** » Sun Jan 31, 2016 9:45 pm

Symmetry wrote:
riskllama wrote:
ronc8649 wrote:this thread is gay as hell.
i believe the correct term is "gay as all hell", yes?
For the religious, only certain levels of hell are for the gays. Well, some of the religious.

good point. apologies, ronc.

ronsizzle · Post by **ronsizzle** » Sun Jan 31, 2016 9:51 pm

the dice have me retiring from cc here very soon. i have never seen anything like it in 6 years.

i usually dont bitch about the dice, it is really crazy lately.

i have no time for this. i am losing pretty much every game. every game right now. i havent won a crucial roll all week long. i mean, i am losing 18-10's all day long.

elfish_lad · Post by **elfish_lad** » Tue Feb 02, 2016 3:21 am

ronc8649 wrote:i usually dont bitch about the dice.

You wrote that while sober. Didn't you.

E.

Symmetry · Post by **Symmetry** » Wed Feb 03, 2016 12:27 am

ronc8649 wrote:the dice have me retiring from cc here very soon. i have never seen anything like it in 6 years.

i usually dont bitch about the dice, it is really crazy lately.

i have no time for this. i am losing pretty much every game. every game right now. i havent won a crucial roll all week long. i mean, i am losing 18-10's all day long.

Damn, who'd have thought that you'd have hit a bad week in 6 years of dice. If you leave the site, take my advice- don't go to Vegas. I think it might break you.

riskllama · Post by **riskllama** » Wed Feb 03, 2016 2:34 am

ronc8649 wrote:the dice have me retiring from cc here very soon. i have never seen anything like it in 6 years.

i usually dont bitch about the dice, it is really crazy lately.

i have no time for this. i am losing pretty much every game. every game right now. i havent won a crucial roll all week long. i mean, i am losing 18-10's all day long.

maybe let's hold off on them arms race games for a bit, ronc...

you'll be retiring from CC soon enough, anyways - when the little shit factory hits the scene...

ronsizzle · Post by **ronsizzle** » Fri Feb 05, 2016 1:10 am

no, i am finishing up here. you may see me on speed games once in a while. but that is all.

waauw · Post by **waauw** » Fri Feb 05, 2016 10:19 am

the warrior65 wrote:Can someone explain why my dices are so bad in the year 2016.

Am I punished for something I did?

Don't worry. Bad periods of dice happen. It's statistically probable. For instance I had a large number of lucky dice at the start of december raising my score by about 500-600, and in january I had the exact opposite happen when I had 1-1.5 weeks of extremely bad dice dropping my score by equal amounts. And by now my dice seem to have gone back to normal.

Compound · Post by **Compound** » Fri Feb 05, 2016 4:06 pm

ITT sore losers that don't understand math.

JK ...kinda.
Has anyone every actually done something scientific to disprove the dice or is it just all based on feel?

TheForgivenOne · Post by **TheForgivenOne** » Fri Feb 05, 2016 4:42 pm

ronc8649 wrote:no, i am finishing up here. you may see me on speed games once in a while. but that is all.

BrutalBob · Post by **BrutalBob** » Fri Feb 12, 2016 12:10 am

Seriously what is this shit!! I start a game and first 10 attacks, game over.

So the odds of losing 5 3v2 battles in a row- theoretically 4.5 in 1000. so approximately 1:250

Except that as I have said before I see this happen all the time!

I cant remember the exact sequence so looking at the above table at best I had it twice in a row. Wow thats unlikely.
Possibly i lost 10 in a row 1 in 50,000.

But theres nothing wrong with the dice. This is normal. we have tested them

boberz · Post by **boberz** » Fri Feb 12, 2016 1:15 pm

I am sure people used to conduct in depth statistical analysis of the dice. Does anybody remember the outcome of that or where that ended up?

iAmCaffeine · Post by **iAmCaffeine** » Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:52 am

boberz wrote:I am sure people used to conduct in depth statistical analysis of the dice. Does anybody remember the outcome of that or where that ended up?

Basically everyone's average is mystically fixed to 3.51 and we use a recurring stream of dice resulting in streaks and bullshit. Enjoy.

waauw · Post by **waauw** » Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:00 pm

BrutalBob wrote:

That's brutal bob!

Fewnix · Post by **Fewnix** » Tue Feb 07, 2017 1:36 am

a post on fixing the dice cc'ers may find persusasive:

Sid Meier, the designer of the computer game Civilization, in which players steer a nation through history, politics, and warfare, quickly learned to modify the game’s odds in order to redress this psychological wrinkle. Extensive play-testing revealed that a player who was told that he had a 33 percent chance of success in a battle but then failed to defeat his opponent three times in a row would become irate and incredulous. (In Civilization, you can replay the same battle over and over until you win, albeit incurring costs with every loss.) So Meier altered the game to more closely match human cognitive biases; if your odds of winning a battle were 1 in 3, the game guaranteed that you’d win on the third attempt—a misrepresentation of true probability that nevertheless gave the illusion of fairness

http://nautil.us/issue/44/luck/how-desi ... ideo-games

armati · Post by **armati** » Tue Feb 07, 2017 6:30 pm

I play another risk site, they use the same algo as here.
Its dysfunctional enough to destroy the games.
When it happens to me, which seems like almost every game, I roll all my countries down to 1 guy.
I consider the game destroyed and just want to get it over with.

I think eventually somebody somewhere will fix the algo and create a risk site, that site will become the most popular site almost overnight.

armati · Post by **armati** » Tue Feb 07, 2017 6:35 pm

Another thing about the algo destroying the games, you never honustly know if you beat your opponent...or the algo won it for you.
Not hard to lose when your opponent cant win a roll.

Bentelbow · Post by **Bentelbow** » Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:44 pm

I'm on firmer ground when it comes to thousands upon thousands of hours playing Civilization.. over several versions.. the 33% winning chance business is not true.. categorically. if you have 33% win chance and you restart til you win, you will be restarting the game LOTS more than 3 times.. I know this because of all the times I've restarted while trying to win an 80% battle and constantly losing it.. 1000's of hours of gameplay don't lie

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